EAI - Wintergreen Research Inc.

The success of technology and new product offerings requires identification of customer needs, implementation of cost-effective products, timely new product completion, and coordinated product introduction. Lucent has a stellar record in executing high growth strategy in complex market conditions.

Telecommunications equipment provider response to change involves accurate evaluation of the competition and effective, timely introduction of new products and services.

Globalization of national economies and the dominance of the Internet promise to impact every market segment in which Lucent participates. E-commerce and the evolution of supply chain exchanges create demand for increasing amounts of communications capacity. The Internet is creating a revolution in business.

Lucent Market Assessment

MOUNTAINS OF OPPORTUNITY

LUCENT

LEADS TELECOMMUNICATIONS MARKETS

DARK CLOUDS OVER EXISTING MARKETS

POSITIONS TO PARTICIPATE IN HIGH GROWTH SEGMENTS

POSITIONS TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF INTERNET OPPORTUNITIES

BLUE SKY IN THE FOREGROUND

WinterGreen Research, Inc.

Lexington, Massachusetts www.wintergreenresearch.com

LUCENT MARKET SHARES, MARKET OPPORTUNITIES, AND MARKET FORECASTS, 2001 - 2006

CHECK OUT THESE KEY TOPICS

Telecommunication Industry Restructuring

Lucent Market Strategies

Lucent Reinvents Itself

Lucent Market Growth Opportunities

Lucent Technologies Positioned As Primary Supplier

-Worldwide Telecommunications Equipment Market Forecasts

Worldwide Market Shares

Circuit Switches

PBX

Digital Loop Carrier

Fiber Optic And Transmission Equipment

High Capacity Synchronous Optical Transport

REPORT METHODOLOGY

This is the Forty First report in a series of market research reports that provide forecasts in communications, telecommunications, the internet, computer, software, and telephone equipment. The project leaders take direct responsibility for writing and preparing each report. They have significant experience preparing industry studies. Forecasts are based on primary research and proprietary data bases. Forecasts reflect analysis of the market trends in the segment and related segments. Unit and dollar shipments are analyzed through consideration of dollar volume of each market participation in the segment. market share analysis includes conversations with marketing directors, distributors, leading market participants, and companies seeking to develop measurable market share. Over 200 in depth interviews are conducted for each report with a broad range of key participants and opinion leaders in the market segment.

Lucent is a Leader In Developing The Future of Worldwide Telecommunications Equipment

YOU MUST HAVE THIS STUDY

1.1 Rapid Change

1.2 Lucent Strategy

1.3 Lucent Reorganization

1.4 Market Dynamics

1.5 Core Networks

1.6 Consolidated Solutions

1.7 Dependence On New Product Development

1.8 Lucent Key Business Challenges

1.9 Growing Demand For Broadband Telecommunications

1.10 Total System Solutions

1.10.1 DSL Service Connection

1.11 Global Manufacturing

1.12 Product Innovation

1.13 CLEC Market

1.14 CLECs

1.15 T1/E1 Access

1.16 Geographic Networks

1.17 Workgroup Computing

1.18 Improved Networks

1.19 Growth Opportunities

1.20 Bringing Products To Market

1.21 Industry Background

1.21.1 Increase In Data Traffic On The Public Network

1.21.2 Convergence Of Voice And Data Signals

1.21.3 Existing Public Network Transmission Infrastructure

1.21.4 Network Primary Components

1.21.5 Network Imbedded Intelligence

1.21.6 Optical SONET and DWDM Systems

1.21.7 SONET Obsolescence

1.22 Market Assessment - Carrier Needs

1.22.1 Access Networks

1.22.2 Long-Haul Network

1.22.3 Long-Haul Bandwidth

1.22.4 New Network Dynamics

1.22.5 Bandwidth Provisioned To Users

1.22.6 Service Network (OSN) solutions

1.23 Optical Internet

1.23.1 Realizing Packet-Based Multi-Service Networks

1.23.2 Second Wave Of Fiber Build-Out

1.24 Growth Of Optical Networking

1.24.1 Almost Limitless Bandwidth

1.25 Motive To Develop Optical Switching

1.26 Application Service Provider Provisioning

1.26.1 Application Availability

Lucent Market Forecasts

Telecommunications Market Driving Forces

2.2 Carrier Competitive Forces

2.3 Carrier Customer Demands

2.4 Carrier Equipment Market Shares

2.5 Digital Loop Carrier Market Shares

2.6 Pricing

2.6.1 DLC Pricing Variables

2.6.2 Alcatel Pricing

2.6.3 Lucent Pricing

2.6.4 AFC pricing

2.7 Digital Loop Carrier Market Forecasts

2.7.1 Penetration Analysis

2.7.2 Large Digital Loop Carriers

2.7.3 Small Digital Loop Carriers

2.7.4 Digital Loop Carrier Forecast

2.7.5 Replacement Market

2.7.6 ADSL Market Shares

2.8 Symmetric DSL (SDSL)

2.8.1 SDSL Market Shares

2.8.2 SDSL Market Shares

2.8.3 SDSL DSLAM Market Forecasts

2.8.4 RBOCS and SDSL Growth Potential

2.9 Circuit Switch Market Shares

2.10 Circuit Switch Market Forecasts

2.11 ATM

2.12 ATM Market Forecasts

2.13 DWDM Market Shares

2.14 DWDM Market Forecasts

2.14.1 Market Shares of Wireless Infrastructure Markets

2.15 Wireless Market Forecasts

3.1 Lucent Systems

3.2 Core Switching Solutions

3.2.1 Lucent Wavestar™ Lambdarouter

3.2.2 Motive To Develop Optical Switching

3.2.3 Photonic Switching

3.2.4 All-Optical Switching Technologies

3.2.5 Micro Electro Mechanical Systems (MEMS)

3.2.6 Alternatives To MEMS Technology

3.2.7 Difficulties With Optical Switching

3.2.8 Optical Packet Switching

3.3 Remote Switching Solutions

3.3.1 Remoting Capabilities Of 5ESS ® - 2000 Switch

3.4 Optical Transport

3.5 Wireless Products

3.5.1 Lucent's Flexent™ Wireless IP Core Network Architecture

3.5.2 Lucent Milife™ Media Platform

3.6 Software Products

3.6.1 Lucent Billing And Customer Care Platform

3.7 Data Networking

3.8 Professional Services

3.9 Lucent Integrated Circuits

3.10 Optoelectronics

3.11 Fiber Optics

3.12 Fiber To The Last Mile

3.13 Seamless All-Optical Network Issues

3.13.1 Quality Of Service (QoS) functions

3.13.2 QoS Different Levels Of Global Service

3.13.3 Network Efficiency

3.14 Integrate IP Routing Equipment And Optical Transport Gear

5.1 Global Telecommunications Networking Industry

5.2 Lucent Revenue

5.2.1 Revenues By Segment 2001

5.2.2 Lucent Technologies Revenue 1997-2000

5.3 Acquisitions

5.3.1 Ortel Corporation

5.3.2 Spring Tide Networks

5.4 Sale Of PBX / Avaya Spinoff

5.5 Sale Of Power Systems

5.6 Bell Labs

Global Wide Area Network ATM Switch Market Shipment Forecasts, Dollars, 2001-2006

Global Telecommunications Wireless Equipment Shipment Forecasts By Segment, Dollars, 2000-2006

WinterGreen Research, founded in 1985, provides strategic market assessments in telecommunications, communications equipment, health care, and advanced computer technology. Industry reports focus on opportunities that will expand existing markets or develop major new markets. The reports assess new product and service positioning strategies, new and evolving technologies, and technological impact on products, services, and markets. Market shares are provided. Leading market participants are profiled, and their marketing strategies, acquisitions, and strategic alliances are discussed. The principals of WinterGreen Research have been involved in analysis and forecasting of international business opportunities in telecommunications and advanced computer technology markets for over 30 years.

Ellen T. Curtiss, Technical Director, co-founder of WinterGreen Research, conducts strategic and market assessments in technology-based industries. Previously she was a member of the staff of Arthur D. Little, Inc., for 23 years, most recently as Vice President of Arthur D. Little Decision Resources, specializing in strategic planning and market development services. She is a graduate of Boston University and the Program for Management Development at Harvard Graduate School of Business Administration. She is the author of recent studies on worldwide telecommunications markets and the Top Ten Telecommunications market analysis and forecasts.

Susan Eustis, President, co-founder of WinterGreen Research, has done research in communications and computer markets and applications. She holds several patents in microcomputing and parallel processing. She is the author of recent studies of the Regional Bell Operating Companies' marketing strategies, Internet equipment, a study of Internet Equipment, Worldwide Telecommunicaitons Equipment, Top Ten Telecommunications, Digital Loop Carrier, Web Hosting, and Application Integration markets. Ms. Eustis is a graduate of Barnard College.

Return To: WinterGreen Research, Inc. 6 Raymond Street Lexington, MA 02421 USA

____Please Bill My Company Using P.O. Number_________________________________________

____Please Charge My MasterCard/Visa/American Express--Card Number _________________ Exp. Date ____

____Additional Copies, @ $375 (Extra Copy Price In Effect Only With Initial Order)

Signature x __________________________________________________Date_____________________________

Name______________________________________________Title_________________________________________

Company______________________________________________________Division___________________________

Address__________________________________City____________________________ State_______Zip _______

Telephone______________________________________Fax______________________________________________

E-Mail____________________________________________________________________________________

Please Note: Residents of Massachusetts and Connecticut Must Include Appropriate Sales Tax