DIGITAL LOOP CARRIER MARKET STRATEGIES AND FORECASTS 2001 TO 2006

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Report No. S80310010341  260+Pages 92 Tables and Figures 2000   

    

DIGITAL LOOP CARRIER NODE ARCHITECTURE

    DIGITAL LOOP CARRIERS GIVE SERVICE PROVIDERS A PRESENCE IN THE NETWORK NODES. WHILE MANY SYSTEMS ARE GOING INTO THE CENTRAL OFFICE, A MARKET SHIFT WILL MEAN THAT MORE UNITS GO INTO NEIGHBORHOOD NODES.

    GROWING MARKET DEMAND FOR HIGH BANDWIDTH SERVICES IS FORCING TELECOM PROVIDERS TO REEVALUATE AND CHANGE NETWORK-PLANNING MODELS AND CREATE NEW ONES. NETWORK PLANNERS AND ENGINEERS RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS EMERGING NETWORK FACE A COMPLEX PROBLEM: HOW TO EFFECTIVELY IMPLEMENT A NETWORK THAT OPTIMIZES DIVERSE SIGNALS FROM VOICE, VIDEO, AND DATA SERVICES. DIGITAL LOOP CARRIERS PROMISE TO PROVIDE A SIGNIFICANT TECHNICAL SOLUTION.

    OVERLAY NETWORKS AND DISCRETE NETWORK ELEMENTS ARE BEING REPLACED WITH INTEGRATED PLATFORMS. EXISTING INVESTMENT NEEDS TO BE PROTECTED WHILE MAINTAINING THE DESIGN REQUIREMENTS FOR A PACKET, DIGITAL NETWORK. AN INTEGRATED MULTI-SERVICE ACCESS PLATFORM BASED ON A DIGITAL LOOP CARRIER PROVIDES A FOUNDATION FOR MULTI-SERVICE DEPLOYMENT, WITH AN EVOLUTIONARY PATH TO PACKET BASED NETWORKS.

MARKET GROWTH

    DIGITAL LOOP CARRIERS PROMISE TO HAVE A STRONG MARKET BECAUSE THEY GIVE THE RBOCS A WAY TO OPTIMIZE EXISTING INVESTMENT IN CIRCUIT SWITCHES, EXTENDING THE CURRENT SWITCH CAPABILITY WITH INCREASED CAPACITY TO MANAGE BROADBAND. CLECS AND CABLE PROVIDERS USE DLCS TO ACHIEVE A POINT OF PRESENCE IN THE LAST MILE OF THE VOICE COMMUNICATIONS NETWORK. WITH THE CONVERGENCE OF VOICE AND DATA, THE POINT OF PRESENCE IN THE NETWORK MUST PROVIDE CONNECTIVITY TO THE CABLE TV NETWORKS, THE VOICE NETWORKS, AUDIO STREAMING, AND TO THE INTERNET. THE ABILITY TO CREATE A POP OUT IN THE LOCAL LOOP MEANS THAT MULTIPLE CARRIERS CAN SERVE THE LAST MILE CUSTOMERS, INTRODUCING REAL COMPETITION INTO THE MARKETS. FOR THE MOMENT, INTERNET CONNECTIVITY VIA XDSL, PARTICULARLY ADSL AND SDSL ARE THE DRIVING APPLICATIONS FOR DIGITAL LOOP CARRIERS.

DLC MARKET DRIVING FORCES    

    DIGITAL LOOP CARRIERS PROMISE TO REPRESENT AN INCREASINGLY SIGNIFICANT COMPONENT OF ACCESS IN THE LOCAL LOOP. DLC EQUIPMENT MARKETS ARE REACTING TO DEMAND FOR COMPETITIVE SERVICES PROVIDERS TO HAVE XDSL ACCESS IN NEIGHBORHOOD NODES.

 

 

 

DLC Market

 

Digital Loop Carrier Market Strategies and Forecasts, 2001-2006

 

Picture by Meredith Green

 

 

Streaming Data, Voice, and Video

 

WinterGreen Research, Inc.

Lexington, Massachusetts          www.wintergreenresearch.com

 

 

 

CHECK OUT THESE KEY TOPICS

 

Market shift will bring units into neighborhood nodes

DLC Market Strategies

DLC Market Positioning

DLC Market Growth Opportunities

Solutions for Voice, Video, and Data Services

DLC Market Forecasts

Worldwide Market Shares

Integrated Platforms

Multi-service deployment

and a path to packet based networks

xDSL, ADSL, SDSL Drive applications

Optimize investment in circuit switches

Integration Broker Markets Shares

DLC Cross Platform Market Shares

 

  

Digital Loop Carriers Are Central to

Replacement Of Carrier Switches

 

YOU MUST HAVE THIS STUDY

 

Digital Loop Carrier Node Architecture

    Digital loop carriers give service providers a presence in the network nodes.  While many systems are going into the central office, a market shift will mean that more units go into neighborhood nodes.

    Growing market demand for high bandwidth services is forcing telecom providers to reevaluate and change network-planning models and create new ones.  Network planners and engineers responsible for this emerging network face a complex problem: how to effectively implement a network that optimizes diverse signals from voice, video, and data services.  Digital loop carriers promise to provide a significant technical solution. 

    Overlay networks and discrete network elements are being replaced with integrated platforms.  Existing investment needs to be protected while maintaining the design requirements for a packet, digital network.  An integrated multi-service access platform based on a digital loop carrier provides a foundation for multi-service deployment, with an evolutionary path to packet based networks.

Market Growth

    Digital loop carriers promise to have a strong market because they give the RBOCs a way to optimize existing investment in circuit switches, extending the current switch capability with increased capacity to manage broadband. 

    CLECs and cable providers use DLCs to achieve a point of presence in the last mile of the voice communications network.  With the convergence of voice and data, the point of presence in the network must provide connectivity to the cable TV networks, the voice networks, audio streaming, and to the Internet. 

    The ability to create a POP out in the local loop means that multiple carriers can serve the last mile customers, introducing real competition into the markets.  For the moment, Internet connectivity via xDSL, particularly ADSL and SDSL are the driving applications for digital loop carriers.

DLC Market Driving Forces

    Digital loop carriers promise to represent an increasingly significant component of access in the local loop.  DLC equipment markets are reacting to demand for competitive services providers to have xDSL access in neighborhood nodes.

 

 

REPORT METHODOLOGY

 

This is the Forty First report in a series of market research reports that provide forecasts in communications, telecommunications, the internet, computer, software, and telephone equipment.  The project leaders take direct responsibility for writing and preparing each report.  They have significant experience preparing industry studies.  Forecasts are based on primary research and proprietary data bases.  Forecasts reflect analysis of the market trends in the segment and related segments.  Unit and dollar shipments are analyzed through consideration of dollar volume of each market participation in the segment.  market share analysis includes conversations with marketing directors, distributors, leading market participants, and companies seeking to develop measurable market share.  Over 200 in depth interviews are conducted for each report with a broad range of key participants and opinion leaders in the market segment.

 

 

 

Companies Profiled


ADC Telecommunications 

Advanced Fibre Communications (AFC)

Accelerated Networks 

Alcatel

Cisco Systems

Copper Mountain Networks 

Efficient Networks 

Ericsson

Huawei Technologies

Infinitec

Lucent

Lucent Acquisitions 

Marconi / Reltec

Next Level Communications

Nortel Networks

Redback

Scientific Atlanta

Tellabs


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY DIGITAL LOOP CARRIER MARKETS

Market Condition

Telecom Markets

Telecommunications Industry Shifts 

Point Of Presence 

Evolution of the Last Mile 

Distinct Access Systems 

Combined Voice And Data 

Reduced Complexity 

Broadband Implementation By Incumbent Service Providers

Upgrades to Existing DLCs 

Integrated Multimedia Services 

Integrated Video Services 

Digital Loop Carrier product Positioning 

RBOC Use of Digital Loop Carriers and XDSL 

Bundled Services

DLC Functions

Design Solutions

Coaxial Cable Internet Competition 

Copper Loop Conditioning 

 


Digital loop carrier market forecasts

DLC Market Driving Forces 

Digital Loop Carrier Competitive Forces 

Digital Loop Carrier Customer Demands 

Digital Loop Carriers Market Shares 

Pricing

DLC Pricing Variables 

Alcatel Pricing

Lucent Pricing

AFC pricing

Digital Loop Carrier Market Forecasts 

Penetration Analysis

Large Digital Loop Carriers 

Small Digital Loop Carriers 

digital loop carrier forecast

replacement market

Regional Analysis 

Digital Loop Carrier Market Partnering Issues 

Voice and Data Services Market

Market Segmentation 

Business Markets

Residential Markets

Potential Customers  /  Target Market

Small Telco Target Markets 

The Internet And Digital Loop Carriers As A Market Force In Local Access

Global Economy

Intensifying Competition On A Global Scale 

Business Forces Driving Change 

Pace Of Technological Change 

Response To Change

Circuit Networks Vs Packet Networks 

Convergence Of Voice And Data 

End-To-End Internet Solutions 

Rapid, Flexible Deployments 

E-Services

E-Services Partnering

Internet

Web Based Supply Chain Exchanges 

Exchange Infrastructure Functionality 

Internet Explosion

Internet Users

Need For Digital Loop Carriers 

Web Lifestyle

Time To Market Issue

ATM Packet Networks


Digital loop carrier products

Overview

Multiservice Digital Loop Carriers  

Alcatel

Integration of DSL into Litespan  

Higher Density On Voice And DSL  

Derived Voice over DSL  

NGDLC to NWDLC

Alcatel Litespan Positioning  

Nortel AccessNode  

Nortel AccessNode Key Benefits  

Lucent AnyMedia® Access System   

Lucent Technologies AnyMedia Benefits  

COM101 Circuit Pack  

The Fibre-to-the-Curb, Building and Home  

Full Service Access Network  

AnyMedia Access System Application Packs  

Lucent AnyMedia

Lucent SLC LineReach  

Lucent DDM-2000 FiberReach Narrowband Shelf

Lucent / Copper Mountain Networks  

Lucent DLC Product Strategy  

Lucent AnyMedia Access System   

Advanced Fibre Communications (AFC) Products

UMC 1000

Custom ASIC

The UMC1000 Multi-Service Access Platform   

Design Philosophy

AFC's ONX1012® Optical Network Access System

UMC 1000 System Expansion  

UMC 1000 Remote Subscriber Terminal (RST)

UMC 1000 Media Fiber Optic Transport

Marconi / RelTec  

Fibex / Cisco

Redback Networks  

Redback Subscriber Support System   

ASICS

Redback SmartEdge Family  

ADC and Redback Networks

SONET and IP Transport Solutions for Cable Market

Next Level Communications  

Flexible-Integrated System.

Broadband Digital Terminal

Universal Service Access Multiplexer

Broadband Network Unit.

Accelerated Networks Switched VoDSL  

Multiservice Broadband Access  

Infinitec Inteleflex DLC System   

Redback Subscriber Management System 10000  

Parallel Switch Fabric

Direct Processing Architecture  

Carrier-Class Redundancy For Mission-Critical Networks

Multiple Service Aggregation  

Multiple Aggregation for the Mega-POP  

DLCNetwork Management Systems  

Nortel Networks DLC Open Network Management System

Next Level DLC Network Management Systems  

Alcatel Access Management System   


digital loop carrier technology

Project Pronto

SBC Advanced Data Services 

SBC e-Tone

SBC's DSL Service

SBC Fiber

SBC DSL

SBC e-tone IBM and E*Trade Strategic Alliance 

SBC Aggressively Migrates To

              Converged Voice, Data, Video Network

SBC Voice Trunking Over ATM   

Qwest

Qwest All-Optical Nationwide Network 

Switch Interfaces Include GR-303 

V5.2

xDSL Infrastructure Issues 

Architecture Reduces Cost And Complexity 

End-To-End Solutions 

Standards-Based, Open Architecture 

International NGDLC System  

Security

Power Considerations 

Advanced Application Specific Integrated Circuits Architecture 

System Design And Integration 

Dense Wavelength Division Multiplexing Technology

Sonet

Standards-Based Architecture 

Software And Protocol Stacks

Element Management System  

Equipment Issues / Digitizing Voice Signals 

Enclosures Outside Plant

Indoor Cabinets


Dlc company profiles

ADC Telecommunications 

Revenue

ADC and PairGain Technologies 

Pairgain

Advanced Fibre Communications (AFC)

Advanced Fibre Communications (AFC)

Advanced Fibre Communications /

             Marconi Communications 

Distribution

Advanced Fibre Communications DLC Network Access System

Platforms

Global Presence

Advanced Fibre Communications Revenues 

Industry Alliances

Markets And Customers

Revenue

Accelerated Networks 

Alcatel

Alcatel Acquisitions

Alcatel

Alcatel Organization / Internet Division 

Cisco Systems

Cisco Sales Overview

Copper Mountain Networks 

Efficient Networks 

Ericsson

Flexible Access Products 

Ericsson Makes Strategic Investment In Saraïde.Com

Acquisitions And Investments 

Huawiei Technologies

Significant Breakthrough in 2000 Sales Revenue

Huawei’s Datat Communication Sales Soar

Infinitec

Inteleflex™ A New Generation Digital Loop Carrier

Lucent

Company Organization

Outsourcing Portfolio

Lucent Customer Base

Lucent Acquisitions 

Acquisition Of Excel Switching 

Outsourcing Portfolio Expanded With INS 

Ascend Business Segments 

Nexabit Networks

Spring Tide

Lucent Divestiture Of Enterprise And Microelectronics

Lucent AnyMedia Products 

Marconi / Reltec

Global Presence

Marconi

Next Level Communications 

Next Level Communications From General Instrument

Outsource Manufacturing 

Products

Nortel Networks

Strategies

Lines Of Business

Redback

Products

Differentiation

Customers

Distribution And Partners 

Scientific Atlanta

Tellabs

Tellabs Advanced Switch Interfaces 


dlc company strategic alliances and strategic positioning

Alcatel Technology Agreements With ADC And Adtran

Lucent Anymedia Access System  

AFC EMAX Applications 

      AFC Multi-Year Supplier Contract

           With France Telecom For Access Equipment

Next Level Communications / Verizon / GTE  

Next Level Communications / Independent Telephone Companies 

VERIZON / ALCATEL'S ADSL 

Cisco

Fujitsu / AFC

DLC Support Services 

Preferred Vendor Strategy 

Phased Expansion Of A Network 


Many of these Key Topics Have Phenomenal Subcategories

 

List of Tables and Figures

 

Market Forecasts 2001-2006              Market Shares 2000

Telecommunications Industry Shifts 

Significant Technological And Architectural Advances 

Market Environment Driving Increased Use of DLCs 

Digital Loop Carrier Product Positioning 

DLC Market Driving Forces                                                                

Principal Competitive Factors In Digital Loop Carrier Market    

Competitive Product Positioning For Digital Loop Carrier Markets   

Digital Loop Carrier Market Success Factors                                

Digital Loop Carrier Customer Demands                                        

Digital Loop Carrier Market Positioning                                          

DLC Competitors                                                                                  

Worldwide Digital Loop Carrier Market Shares, 2000                   

Digital Loop Carrier (DLC) Market Penetration

         Unit Shipment Analysis, United Staes, 2000-2006                

Digital Loop Carrier (DLC) Data Line Size Market Penetration

         2000-2006                                                                                      

Large Digital Loop Carrier Market Forecasts, 2000-2006            

Large Digital Loop Carrier Large System

         Shipments, Units and Dollars,  2000-2006                              

Small and Mid Size Digital Loop Carrier Market Forecasts, 2000-2006       

Digital Loop Carrier Small and Mid Size System

         Shipments, Units and Dollars,  2000-2006                              

Digital Loop Carrier Market Forecasts, 2000-2006                        

Digital Loop Carrier Market Dollar Shipment Analysis,

        United States,  2000-2006                                                            

Worldwide Digital Loop Carrier Regional Market Shares, 2000 

Worldwide Digital Loop Carrier Regional Market Shares, 200


List of Tables and Figures  (Continued)


Market Forecasts 2001-2006              Market Shares 2000


Regional Market Forecasts, 2000-2006                                            

Digital Loop Carrier Market Partnering Issues                              

Internet Access Servioces Market Forecasts, 2000-2006           

Market Forces For Global Economy                                                

Factors Impacting The Level Of Price And Product Competition        

Response To Competition                                                                  

Business Forces Driving Change                                                     

Digital Loop Carrier Provider Response To Change                    

E-Services Partnering Strategy                                                         

Internet Market Driving Forces                                                          

Web Based Supply Chain Exchanges                                              

Major Factors Driving Local Access Value Added Services Markets

Key Strategies Of The Internet Digital Loop Carrier Providers  

ATM Market Impact                                                                              

Attributes of a DLC System  

Nortel AccessNode Key Benefits 

Nortel DLC Service Adaptive Access Technology 

Nortel Networks Universal Edge portfolio 

Nortel Integrated DLC Services Supported 

Lucent Technologies AnyMedia Benefits 

Lucent AnyMedia Access System Building Blocks.

Lucent Application Pack Services 

Unique Design Features of UMC Terminals 

Next Level Communications Network Elements 

Redback Subscriber Management System I/O modules Supported 

SMS Carrier-Class Mission-Critical Network Features 

Redback Subscriber Management System

SMS 10000 Features and Functions 

Redback Subscriber Functions 

Redback Subscriber Management Protocols 

Redback Subscriber Management System  Security 

Redback Subscriber Management

System Accounting and Network Management

Redback Subscriber Management System Advanced Features 

Software License Configurations 

SBC Broadband Strategies 

SBC Broadband Strategic Alliances 

SBC Corporate Strategy for Data 

SBC Broadband Applications 

SBC Advanced Broadband-Powered Services 

SBC IBM, PeopleSoft, and E*Trade Strategic Alliance 

V5.2 Benefits And Capabilities 

Advanced Fiber Communications EMAXT

Equipment Maximization System  

Copper Line Direct Connect Vs.  Shared

Cable Coax Technology And Issues 

MDLC Power Issues 

Application Specific Integrated Circuit Categories 

 

List of Tables and Figures  (Continued)

 

Market Forecasts 2000-2005              Market Shares 1999

 

Carriers Issues for Deploying Fiber Optic

Communication Standards 

Types of Telecommunications Platform Software 

Element Management System Solutions 

DLC Equipment Issues Regarding

Digitizing Analog Voice Signals 

Multiplexing Equipment Issues 

T-1 Transmission Defined 

T-1 vs. DS-1 

T-1 Evolution 

Fractional T-1 

SONET  

DLC Competitors 

Advanced Fibre Communications Strengths and

Challenges in DSL Market

AFC Strategic Technology Alliances 

Alcatel Strengths And Challenges in DLC Market

Ericsson Portfolio 

Lucent Acquisitions 

Selected RelTec Customers 

Redback Key Customers 

Lucent DLC Customers 

Principal Functions Of A Cisco Access Network 

DLC Strategic Positioning 

DLC Platform Positioning 


about the company

 

WinterGreen Research, founded in 1985, provides strategic market assessments in telecommunications, communications equipment, health care, and advanced computer technology.  Industry reports focus on opportunities that will expand existing markets or develop major new markets.  The reports assess new product and service positioning strategies, new and evolving technologies, and technological impact on products, services, and markets.  Market shares are provided. 

Reports concentrate on analysis of the overall size of budgets for equipment as well as market trends.  Leading market participants are profiled, and their marketing strategies, acquisitions, and strategic alliances are discussed.  The principals of WinterGreen Research have been involved in analysis and forecasting of international business opportunities in telecommunications and advanced computer technology markets for over 30 years.

 

about the principal authors

 

Ellen T. Curtiss, Technical Director, co-founder of WinterGreen Research, conducts strategic and market assessments in technology-based industries.  Previously she was a member of the staff of Arthur D. Little, Inc., for 23 years, most recently as Vice President of Arthur D. Little Decision Resources, specializing in strategic planning and market development services.  She is a graduate of Boston University and the Program for Management Development at Harvard Graduate School of Business Administration.  She is the author of recent studies on worldwide telecommunications markets and the Top Ten Telecommunications market analysis and forecasts.

 

Susan Eustis, President, co-founder of WinterGreen Research, has done research in communications and computer markets and applications.  She holds several patents in microcomputing and parallel processing.  She has patents on the first electronic voting machine, and has patent applications for new voting machines, new multi-processors, the operating system for the Internet, and has developed an new n-dimensional mathematics.  She is the author of recent studies of the Regional Bell Operating Companies' marketing strategies, Internet equipment, a study of Internet Equipment, Worldwide Telecommunications Equipment, Top Ten Telecommunications, Digital Loop Carrier, Web Hosting, and Application Integration markets.  Ms. Eustis is a graduate of Barnard College.

 

 

 

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