ATM: Equipment Market Forecasts / Strategic Opportunity
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ATM is discussed in the context of market drivers, virtual networks, and impact of network congestion. ATM markets are growing as companies seek to upgrade their backbone communications infrastructure. ATM promises to be very competitive in price with other technologies. As this happens, significant growth will occur. ATM markets: WAN, enterprise, LAN, and PC are forecast in units and dollars. Market share information is detailed. Growth is anticipated for all networks segments. LAN environments will have significant growth as workers at every level share more data with each other and access more information electronically. In LAN environments, quality of service and reliability represent market drivers. Explosive growth opportunities for ATM at the client level are described. Decreasing price points in the desktop ATM-25 market segment represent a unique market growth factor. Enterprise systems markets will be driven by new Intranet implementations. Carriers promise to purchase ATM switches to compete more effective and efficiently with private networks and to implement new services including desktop video conferencing.
ATM:
VIRTUAL
NETWORK REVOLUTION -- EQUIPMENT FORECASTS TO 2000.
MARKET OPPORTUNITIES
ATM broadband communications growth is evolving as networks become congested with the increase in data used for distributed processing. Competition with private networks, efficient delivery of enterprise data, virtual networks, video conferencing, and other data transactions represent significant market growth drivers.
·
Replace
private networks with broadband carrier ones
·
Implement
video conferencing
·
Implement
groupware
·
Relieve
overloaded frame relay and Ethernet LAN networks as a result of increases in
computing speed and power
·
Simplify
access to the backbone
·
Provide
new open system technologies
· Interconnect desktop computing power so it can be harnessed for enterprise use during time when employees not using computers
· Support strategic partnering
· Support suppliers, distributors, and sales force from the enterprise
ATM will simplify access to the backbone as other network systems become overloaded. ATM promises to be very competitive in price with other technologies. As this happens, significant growth will occur. ATM market growth is anticipated for all networks segments. LAN environments will have significant growth as workers at every level share more data with each other and access more information electronically.
Decreasing price points in the desktop ATM-25 market segment represent a unique market growth factor. Quality of service and reliability represent market drivers. Enterprise systems markets will be driven by new Intranet implementations. Carriers promise to purchase ATM switches to compete more effectively and efficiently with private networks and to implement new services.
Key Findings of
Study
Key Market Directions and Opportunities
· ATM migration paths are creating demand for products
· Network overloads are creating need for more bandwidth
· Network congestion can be alleviated by ATM
· Private networks can be replaced by carrier based ATM
· Applications will drive ATM implementation
· Companies are positioning to sell complete solutions
COMPANY PROFILES
ADAPTEC
ADC
KENTROX
AGILE
NETWORKS
ATMNET
ALCATEL
AT&T
BAY
NETWORKS
CABLETRON
CASCADE
CISCO
3COM
CORPORATION
CROSSCOMM
DIGITAL
EQUIPMENT
DYNATECH/TTC
EFFICIENT
NETWORKS
FASTCOMM
COMMUNICATIONS
FORE
SYSTEMS
FUJITSU
GENERAL
DATACOMM
GENERAL
INSTRUMENT
HEWLETT-PACKARD
IBM
INTERPHASE
LANOPTICS
LUCENT
TECHNOLOGIES
MADGE
NETWORKS
MICROSOFT
NCR
NETSCAPE
NCUBE
NETWORK
EQUIPMENT TECHNOLOGIES, INC.
NEWBRIDGE
NETWORKS
NORTHERN
TELECOM LIMITED
ALL-OPTICAL
NETWORKING CONSORTIUM
PACIFIC
TELESIS
RSA
DATA SECURITY
SPRINT
SIEMENS
STRATACOM
SUN
MICROSYSTEMS
UB
NETWORKS
U.S.
ROBOTICS
WHITTAKER
WHITETREE
XYLAN
REPORT METHODOLOGY
This is the eleventh in a series of market forecasts of networking and
interoperability. The project
leaders have significant experience preparing industry studies.
Forecasts are based on primary research and proprietary data bases.
In-depth interviews are conducted with a broad range of key
participants and opinion leaders.
REPORT OUTLINE
executive summary
I MARKET PROFILE
MARKET SHIFTS
implementation of
virtual
corporation
II MARKET ANALYSIS
OVERVIEW
NETWORKING PRODUCTS
COMPUTER MARKET
ETHERNET SWITCHING
FRAME RELAY
token ring
REMOTE ACCESS
ATM TRIALS
TIME WARNER ORLANDO
north carolina
III PRODUCT POSITIONING
BUSINESS CONCERNS
ATM SWITCHES
SCALABLE
~ ARCHITECTURES
ATM LAN SWITCHES
FORE
BAY NETWORKS
IBM
DIGITAL EQUIPMENT
CISCO
3COM
UB NETWORKS
CASCADE
COMMUNICATIONS
XYLAN
WHITTAKER
MADGE
ENTERPRISE LAN / WAN ATM
STRATACOM
NEWBRIDGE
NETEDGE SYSTEMS
WIDE AREA NETWORK SWITCHES
FUJITSU
DESKTOP ATM
GENERAL INSTRUMENT
FIRST VIRTUAl
WHITETREE
UB NETWORKS
GENERAL INSTRUMENT
ATM EMULATION
atm ANALYSIS
HEWLETT-PACKARD
TELENEX, ADTECH
TEKELEC, TTC/DYNATECH
ATM HEADEND, WEBTOP
IV ATM TECHNOLOGY
DEPLOYMENT CONSTRAINTS
NETWORK MANAGEMENT
Local area network
FRAME RELAY/ATM INTERNETWORKING
TOKEN RING/ATM INTERNETWORKING
ETHERNET/ATM
WORKGROUP SWITCHING
LAN EMULATION
STANDARDS AND PROTOCOLS
SWITCHED ETHERNET/ATM COMPATIBILITY
CABLE TV BROADBAND
CONGESTION AVOIDANCE
RELIABILITY
FIBER BASED
SWITCHED VIRTUAL CIRCUITS
SUBCLASSES
DYNAMIC BIT RATE
band ALLOCATION
ATM EDGE TECHNOLOGY
NETWORK CONTROL
SYSTEMS MANAGEMENT
CABLE MODEM
ATM EMULATION
ATM ANALYSIS
ISDN
ENCRYPTION
RESOURCE PLANNING
FAULT MANAGEMENT
DYNAMIC ALLOCATION NETWORK INTELLIGENCE
V ATM FORECASTS
SUMMARY FORECASTS
VIRTUAL NETWORKS
growth FACTORS
MARKET
SHARES:
market
FORECASTS:
Installed
base:
LOCAL AREA NETWORK
ENTERPRISE
CARRIER BACKBONE
DESK TOP ATM
ATM EMULATION
ANALYSIS EQUIPMENT
ATM HUB MARKET
ATM NETWORK SERVICES
VI. APPLICATIONS DRIVING ATM IMPLEMENTATION
ATM APPLICATION MARKET DRIVERS
DISTANCE LEARNING
REMOTE DELIVERY OF HEALTH CARE
TELEMEDICINE
VIDEO CONFERENCING
INTERACTIVE VIDEO
BILLING SYSTEMS
CD ROM DELIVERY
VIDEO ARRAIGNMENT
VII STRATEGIC MARKETING, STRATEGIC ALLIANCES ACQUISITIONS
OVERVIEW
MARKETING
DISTRIBUTION
STRATEGIC POSITIONING
FORE/GENERAL INSTRU-MENT/MICROSOFT
GENERAL INSTRUMENT/ FORE/ CABLELABS
MOTOROLA AND SUN MICROSYSTEMS
MICROSOFT AND DIRECT TV
NETSCAPE/AT&T/AMERICA ONLINE
SPRINT, DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, AND FRANCE TELECOM
GENERAL DATACOMM/DIGITAL
NORTEL/FORE SYSTEMS
aCQUISITIONS
MULTI-COMPANY ISDN
LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES
1995-2000
FORECASTS AND MARKET SHARES BY SEGMENT
ATM Market Shares, 1995
ATM Forecasts, 1995-2000
ATM Port Shipments, 1995-2000
ATM Installed Base, 1995-2000
ATM Penetration, 1995-2000
LAN SWITCHES
ENTERPRISE SWITCHES
CARRIER SWITCHES
DESKTOP ADAPTERS
ATM Services, 1995-2000
SERVICES descriptions
FORCES CREATING NEED FOR MORE COMMUNICATIONS NETWORK THROUGHPUT
DRIVING FORCES FOR ATM
about the company
WinterGreen Research, founded in 1985, provides strategic market
assessments in telecommunications, communications equipment, health care and
advanced computer technology. Industry
reports focus on opportunities that will expand existing markets or develop
major new markets. The reports
assess new product and service positioning strategies; new and evolving
technologies; and technological impacts on products, services, and markets.
Market shares are estimated. Leading
market participants are profiled, and their marketing strategies,
acquisitions, and strategic alliances are discussed.
The principals of WinterGreen Research have been involved in analysis
and forecasting of international business opportunities in telecommunications
and advanced computer technology markets for over 30 years.
about the principals
Ellen T. Curtiss, Technical Consultant, co-founder of WinterGreen
Research, conducts strategic and market assessments in technology-based
industries. Previously she was a
member of the staff of Arthur D. Little, Inc., for 23 years, most recently as
Vice President of Arthur D. Little Decision Resources, specializing in
strategic planning and market development services.
A graduate of Boston University and the Program for Management
Development at Harvard Graduate School of Business Administration, she is a
Chartered Financial Analyst.
Susan Eustis, President, co-founder of WinterGreen Research, has
done research in communications and computer markets and applications.
She holds several patents in microcomputing and parallel processing.
She is the author of recent studies of the Regional Bell Operating
Companies' marketing strategies and of a study of telecommunications company
positioning in the European market. Ms.
Eustis is a graduate of Barnard College.
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ATM: VIRTUAL
NETWORK REVOLUTION -- EQUIPMENT FORECASTS TO 2000
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